You are currently browsing the category archive for the 'NFL picks and predictions' category.
Picks from Inside the Numbers
Units (season): -1.40
Units (last week): -0.62
Against the Spread (season): 67-77
Against the Spread (last week): 8-7
Straight up (season): 98-46
Straight up (last week): 11-4
Week 11 Bets
Jets +10.5 to cover (1.00 units)
Broncos +?? to cover (0.50 units)
Buccaneers +11 to cover (0.50 units)
Bears +3 to win (0.50 units)
Chiefs +10 to cover (0.50 units)
Total units 3.00
Picks from Inside the Numbers
Units (season): -0.78
Units (last week): -1.63
Against the Spread (season): 59-70
Against the Spread (last week): 7-6
Straight up (season): 87-42
Straight up (last week): 7-6
Week 10 Bets
Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Colts to cover (0.50 units)
Rams to cover (0.50 units)
Bills to cover (0.50 units)
Packers to win (0.50 units)
Total units 2.75
Picks from Inside the Numbers
Units (season): +0.86
Units (last week): -0.89
Against the Spread (season): 52-64
Against the Spread (last week): 6-7
Straight up (season): 80-36
Straight up (last week): 7-6
Game 1 – Chiefs at Jaguars
Vegas Line: Jaguars by 6.5
Our Line: Jaguars by 7
Our Play: Jaguars to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 2 – Ravens at Bengals
Vegas Line: Ravens by 3
Our Line: Bengals by 2
Our Play: Bengals to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 3 – Texans at Colts
Vegas Line: Colts by 9
Our Line: Colts by 7
Our Play: Texans to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 4 – Redskins at Falcons
Vegas Line: Falcons by 10
Our Line: Falcons by 6
Our Play: Redskins to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 5 – Packers at Buccaneers
Vegas Line: Packers by 10
Our Line: Packers by 5
Our Play: Buccaneers to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 6 -Cardinals at Bears
Vegas Line: Bears by 3
Our Line: Bears by 4
Our Play: Bears to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 7 – Dolphins at Patriots
Vegas Line: Patriots by 10.5
Our Line: Patriots by 4
Our Play: Dolphins to cover (0.75 units)
Spin:
Game 8 – Panthers at Saints
Vegas Line: Saints by 13.5
Our Line: Saints by 9
Our Play: Panthers to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 9 – Lions at Seahawks
Vegas Line: Seahawks by 10
Our Line: Seahawks by 7
Our Play: Lions to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 10 – Titans at 49ers
Vegas Line: 49ers by 4
Our Line: 49ers by 5
Our Play: 49ers to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 11 – Chargers at Giants
Vegas Line: Giants by 5
Our Line: Giants by 4
Our Play: Chargers to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 12 – Cowboys at Eagles
Vegas Line: Eagles by 3
Our Line: Eagles by 2
Our Play: Cowboys to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 13 – Steelers at Broncos
Vegas Line: Steelers by 3
Our Line: Broncos by 12
Our Play: Broncos to cover (0.50 units), Broncos to win (2.50 units)
Spin: Game of the Year. We are 7-1 so far in our Game of the Week selections (our only loss coming with Washington failing to cover against Philadelphia in week 7). The Steelers are on a mini roll right now with their victory over Minnesota followed with a bye, giving them a week off to prepare for the AFC West leading Broncos. Combine this along with the return of Troy Polomalu and that they are the defending Super Bowl champions, and you find that the public has now completely forgotten about the very poor start this team had. They almost lost to the Titans, and more importantly have lost to the Bears and Bengals on the road. Why is that significant other than being on the road at Denver?
- Tennessee #31 defense at home – Win 13-10
- at Chicago #11 defense – Loss 14-17
- at Cincinnati #12 defense – Loss 20-23
- San Diego #19 at home – Win 38-28
- at Detroit #29 defense – Win 28-20
- Cleveland #32 defense at home – Win 27-14
- Minnesota #21 defense at home – Win 27-17
- at Denver #1 defense
And trust us, Denver is a better team than either Chicago or Cincinnati. Yes there are some concerns with injuries on Denver’s side, especially with RT Ryan Harris, who will not be playing. His replacement Tyler Polumbus did an admirable job last week against the Ravens, and should hold his own this week against the Steelers.
Game 14 – N/A
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Our Line:
Our Play:
Game 15 – N/A
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Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
Game 16 – N/A
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Our Line:
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Spin:
SUMMARY
Broncos to cover (0.50 units), Broncos to win (2.50 units)
Dolphins to cover (0.75 units)
Bengals to cover (0.25 units)
Panthers to cover (0.25 units)
Buccaneers to cover (0.25 units)
Total: 4.5 units
Picks from Inside the Numbers
Units (season): +1.80
Units (last week): -4.75
Against the Spread (season): 46-57
Against the Spread (last week): 3-10
Straight up (season): 73-30
Straight up (last week): 9-4
Game 1 – Broncos at Ravens
Vegas Line: Ravens by 3
Our Line: Broncos by 5
Our Play: Broncos to cover (0.75 units), Broncos to win (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 2 – Browns at Bears
Vegas Line: Bears by 13.5
Our Line: Bears by 7
Our Play: Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Spin:
Game 3 – Texans at Bills
Vegas Line: Texans by 3.5
Our Line: Texans by 2
Our Play: Bills to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 4 – Vikings at Packers
Vegas Line: Packers by 3
Our Line: Packers by 2
Our Play: Vikings to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 5 – 49ers at Colts
Vegas Line: Colts by 12.5
Our Line: Colts by 7
Our Play: 49ers to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 6 -Dolphins at Jets
Vegas Line: Jets by 3.5
Our Line: Jets by 5
Our Play: Jets to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 7 – Rams at Lions
Vegas Line: Lions by 4
Our Line: Lions by 5
Our Play: Lions to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 8 – Seahawks at Cowboys
Vegas Line: Cowboys by 9.5
Our Line: Cowboys by 8
Our Play: Seahawks to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 9 – Oakland at San Diego
Vegas Line: San Diego by 16.5
Our Line: San Diego by 6
Our Play: Oakland to cover (1.25 units)
Spin:
Game 10 – Jaguars at Titans
Vegas Line: Titans by 3
Our Line: Jaguars by 3
Our Play: Jaguars to cover (0.25 units), Jaguars to win (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 11 – Panther at Cardinals
Vegas Line: Cardinals by 10
Our Line: Cardinals by 7
Our Play: Panthers to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 12 – Giants at Eagles
Vegas Line: Giants by 1
Our Line: Eagles by 1
Our Play: Eagles to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 13 – Falcons at Saints
Vegas Line: Saints by 10.5
Our Line: Saints by 8
Our Play: Falcons to cover (0.0 units)
Spin: Game of the week.
Game 14 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Game 15 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
Game 16 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
SUMMARY
Oakland to cover (1.25 units)
Broncos to cover (0.75 units), Broncos to win (0.25 units)
Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Jaguars to cover (0.25 units), Jaguars to win (0.25 units)
49ers to cover (0.25 units)
Total: 3.75
Picks from Inside the Numbers
Units (season): +6.55
Units (last week): +0.82
Against the Spread (season): 43-47
Against the Spread (last week): 7-7
Straight up (season): 64-26
Straight up (last week): 9-5
Game 1 – Chargers at Chiefs
Vegas Line: Chargers by 5
Our Line: Chargers by 1
Our Play: Chiefs to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 2 – Colts at Rams
Vegas Line: Colts by 13.5
Our Line: Colts by 7
Our Play: Rams to cover (0.75 units)
Spin:
Game 3 – Bears at Bengals
Vegas Line: Bengals by PK
Our Line: Bengals by 4
Our Play: Bengals to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 4 – Packers at Browns
Vegas Line: Packers by 9
Our Line: Packers by 2
Our Play: Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Spin: This line has been a bit of madness. It opened at Green Bay -7 for about a day depending on your sportsbook, then got removed completely. Now it is reopening at Green Bay -9, and already some -10’s are popping up. We are guessing that the public came out hammering the Packers a lot harder than Vegas had anticipated. A lot of people were calling this their lock of the week or month. We are solidly if not enthusiastically on the other side. The Browns offense has been terrible of late, but they are still managing to stay in games and covered on the road at Pittsburgh just last week. We think they will continue to play better, and their offense will find enough success to stay in this game.
Game 5 – Vikings at Steelers
Vegas Line: Steelers by 5.5
Our Line: Vikings by 1
Our Play: Vikings to cover (0.75 units)
Spin:
Game 6 -Patriots vs Buccaneers (Game played in London)
Vegas Line: Patriots by 15
Our Line: Patriots by 6
Our Play: Buccaneers to cover (0.75 units)
Spin:
Game 7 – 49ers at Texans
Vegas Line: Texans by 3
Our Line: Texans by 4
Our Play: Texans to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 8 – Jets at Raiders
Vegas Line: Jets by 6
Our Line: Jets by 1
Our Play: Raiders to cover (0.50 units)
Spin:
Game 9 – Bills at Panthers
Vegas Line: Panthers by 7
Our Line: Panthers by 4
Our Play: Bills to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 10 – Saints at Dolphins
Vegas Line: Saints by 6.5
Our Line: Saints by 3
Our Play: Dolphins to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 11 – Falcons at Cowboys
Vegas Line: Cowboys by 4
Our Line: Cowboys by 2
Our Play: Falcons to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 12 – Cardinals at Giants
Vegas Line: Giants by 7
Our Line: Giants by 5
Our Play: Cardinals to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 13 – Eagles at Redskins
Vegas Line: Eagles by 7
Our Line: Redskins by 2
Our Play: Redskins to cover (1.0 units)
Spin: Game of the week.
Game 14 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Game 15 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
Game 16 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
SUMMARY
Redskins to cover (1.0 units)
Buccaneers to cover (0.75 units)
Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Vikings to cover (0.75 units)
Rams to cover (0.75 units)
Raiders to cover (0.50 units)
Chiefs to cover (0.25 units)
Total: 4.75 units
