You are currently browsing the category archive for the 'NFL picks and predictions' category.

Picks from Inside the Numbers

Units (season): -1.40
Units (last week): -0.62
Against the Spread (season): 67-77
Against the Spread (last week): 8-7
Straight up (season): 98-46
Straight up (last week): 11-4

Week 11 Bets

Jets +10.5 to cover (1.00 units)
Broncos +?? to cover (0.50 units)
Buccaneers +11 to cover (0.50 units)
Bears +3 to win (0.50 units)
Chiefs +10 to cover (0.50 units)

Total units 3.00

Picks from Inside the Numbers

Units (season): -0.78
Units (last week): -1.63
Against the Spread (season): 59-70
Against the Spread (last week): 7-6
Straight up (season): 87-42
Straight up (last week): 7-6

Week 10 Bets

Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Colts to cover (0.50 units)
Rams to cover (0.50 units)
Bills to cover (0.50 units)
Packers to win (0.50 units)

Total units 2.75

Picks from Inside the Numbers

Units (season): +0.86
Units (last week): -0.89
Against the Spread (season): 52-64
Against the Spread (last week): 6-7
Straight up (season): 80-36
Straight up (last week): 7-6

Game 1 – Chiefs at Jaguars

Vegas Line: Jaguars by 6.5
Our Line: Jaguars by 7

Our Play: Jaguars to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 2 – Ravens at Bengals

Vegas Line: Ravens by 3
Our Line: Bengals by 2

Our Play: Bengals to cover (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 3 – Texans at Colts

Vegas Line: Colts by 9
Our Line: Colts by 7

Our Play: Texans to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 4 – Redskins at Falcons

Vegas Line: Falcons by 10
Our Line: Falcons by 6

Our Play: Redskins to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 5 – Packers at Buccaneers

Vegas Line: Packers by 10
Our Line: Packers by 5

Our Play: Buccaneers to cover (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 6 -Cardinals at Bears

Vegas Line: Bears by 3
Our Line: Bears by 4

Our Play: Bears to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 7 – Dolphins at Patriots

Vegas Line: Patriots by 10.5
Our Line: Patriots by 4

Our Play: Dolphins to cover (0.75 units)

Spin:

Game 8 – Panthers at Saints

Vegas Line: Saints by 13.5
Our Line: Saints by 9

Our Play: Panthers to cover (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 9 – Lions at Seahawks

Vegas Line: Seahawks by 10
Our Line: Seahawks by 7

Our Play: Lions to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 10 – Titans at 49ers

Vegas Line: 49ers by 4
Our Line: 49ers by 5

Our Play: 49ers to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 11 – Chargers at Giants

Vegas Line: Giants by 5
Our Line: Giants by 4

Our Play: Chargers to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 12 – Cowboys at Eagles

Vegas Line: Eagles by 3
Our Line: Eagles by 2

Our Play: Cowboys to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 13 – Steelers at Broncos

Vegas Line: Steelers by 3
Our Line: Broncos by 12

Our Play: Broncos to cover (0.50 units), Broncos to win (2.50 units)

Spin: Game of the Year. We are 7-1 so far in our Game of the Week selections (our only loss coming with Washington failing to cover against Philadelphia in week 7). The Steelers are on a mini roll right now with their victory over Minnesota followed with a bye, giving them a week off to prepare for the AFC West leading Broncos. Combine this along with the return of Troy Polomalu and that they are the defending Super Bowl champions, and you find that the public has now completely forgotten about the very poor start this team had. They almost lost to the Titans, and more importantly have lost to the Bears and Bengals on the road. Why is that significant other than being on the road at Denver?

  • Tennessee #31 defense at home – Win 13-10
  • at Chicago #11 defense – Loss 14-17
  • at Cincinnati #12 defense – Loss 20-23
  • San Diego #19 at home – Win 38-28
  • at Detroit #29 defense – Win 28-20
  • Cleveland #32 defense at home – Win 27-14
  • Minnesota #21 defense at home – Win 27-17
  • at Denver #1 defense

And trust us, Denver is a better team than either Chicago or Cincinnati. Yes there are some concerns with injuries on Denver’s side, especially with RT Ryan Harris, who will not be playing. His replacement Tyler Polumbus did an admirable job last week against the Ravens, and should hold his own this week against the Steelers.

Game 14 – N/A

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Our Line:

Our Play:

Game 15 – N/A

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Our Line:

Our Play:

Spin:

Game 16 – N/A

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Our Line:

Our Play:

Spin:

SUMMARY

Broncos to cover (0.50 units), Broncos to win (2.50 units)
Dolphins to cover (0.75 units)
Bengals to cover (0.25 units)
Panthers to cover (0.25 units)
Buccaneers to cover (0.25 units)

Total: 4.5 units

Picks from Inside the Numbers

Units (season): +1.80
Units (last week): -4.75
Against the Spread (season): 46-57
Against the Spread (last week): 3-10
Straight up (season): 73-30
Straight up (last week): 9-4

Game 1 – Broncos at Ravens

Vegas Line: Ravens by 3
Our Line: Broncos by 5

Our Play: Broncos to cover (0.75 units), Broncos to win (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 2 – Browns at Bears

Vegas Line: Bears by 13.5
Our Line: Bears by 7

Our Play: Browns to cover (0.75 units)

Spin:

Game 3 – Texans at Bills

Vegas Line: Texans by 3.5
Our Line: Texans by 2

Our Play: Bills to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 4 – Vikings at Packers

Vegas Line: Packers by 3
Our Line: Packers by 2

Our Play: Vikings to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 5 – 49ers at Colts

Vegas Line: Colts by 12.5
Our Line: Colts by 7

Our Play: 49ers to cover (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 6 -Dolphins at Jets

Vegas Line: Jets by 3.5
Our Line: Jets by 5

Our Play: Jets to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 7 – Rams at Lions

Vegas Line: Lions by 4
Our Line: Lions by 5

Our Play: Lions to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 8 – Seahawks at Cowboys

Vegas Line: Cowboys by 9.5
Our Line: Cowboys by 8

Our Play: Seahawks to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 9 – Oakland at San Diego

Vegas Line: San Diego by 16.5
Our Line: San Diego by 6

Our Play: Oakland to cover (1.25 units)

Spin:

Game 10 – Jaguars at Titans

Vegas Line: Titans by 3
Our Line: Jaguars by 3

Our Play: Jaguars to cover (0.25 units), Jaguars to win (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 11 – Panther at Cardinals

Vegas Line: Cardinals by 10
Our Line: Cardinals by 7

Our Play: Panthers to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 12 – Giants at Eagles

Vegas Line: Giants by 1
Our Line: Eagles by 1

Our Play: Eagles to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 13 – Falcons at Saints

Vegas Line: Saints by 10.5
Our Line: Saints by 8

Our Play: Falcons to cover (0.0 units)

Spin: Game of the week.

Game 14 – N/A

Vegas Line:
Our Line:

Our Play:

Game 15 – N/A

Vegas Line:
Our Line:

Our Play:

Spin:

Game 16 – N/A

Vegas Line:
Our Line:

Our Play:

Spin:

SUMMARY

Oakland to cover (1.25 units)
Broncos to cover (0.75 units), Broncos to win (0.25 units)
Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Jaguars to cover (0.25 units), Jaguars to win (0.25 units)
49ers to cover (0.25 units)

Total: 3.75

Picks from Inside the Numbers

Units (season): +6.55
Units (last week): +0.82
Against the Spread (season): 43-47
Against the Spread (last week): 7-7
Straight up (season): 64-26
Straight up (last week): 9-5

Game 1 – Chargers at Chiefs

Vegas Line: Chargers by 5
Our Line: Chargers by 1

Our Play: Chiefs to cover (0.25 units)

Spin:

Game 2 – Colts at Rams

Vegas Line: Colts by 13.5
Our Line: Colts by 7

Our Play: Rams to cover (0.75 units)

Spin:

Game 3 – Bears at Bengals

Vegas Line: Bengals by PK
Our Line: Bengals by 4

Our Play: Bengals to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 4 – Packers at Browns

Vegas Line: Packers by 9
Our Line: Packers by 2

Our Play: Browns to cover (0.75 units)

Spin: This line has been a bit of madness. It opened at Green Bay -7 for about a day depending on your sportsbook, then got removed completely. Now it is reopening at Green Bay -9, and already some -10’s are popping up. We are guessing that the public came out hammering the Packers a lot harder than Vegas had anticipated. A lot of people were calling this their lock of the week or month. We are solidly if not enthusiastically on the other side. The Browns offense has been terrible of late, but they are still managing to stay in games and covered on the road at Pittsburgh just last week. We think they will continue to play better, and their offense will find enough success to stay in this game.

Game 5 – Vikings at Steelers

Vegas Line: Steelers by 5.5
Our Line: Vikings by 1

Our Play: Vikings to cover (0.75 units)

Spin:

Game 6 -Patriots vs Buccaneers (Game played in London)

Vegas Line: Patriots by 15
Our Line: Patriots by 6

Our Play: Buccaneers to cover (0.75 units)

Spin:

Game 7 – 49ers at Texans

Vegas Line: Texans by 3
Our Line: Texans by 4

Our Play: Texans to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 8 – Jets at Raiders

Vegas Line: Jets by 6
Our Line: Jets by 1

Our Play: Raiders to cover (0.50 units)

Spin:

Game 9 – Bills at Panthers

Vegas Line: Panthers by 7
Our Line: Panthers by 4

Our Play: Bills to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 10 – Saints at Dolphins

Vegas Line: Saints by 6.5
Our Line: Saints by 3

Our Play: Dolphins to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 11 – Falcons at Cowboys

Vegas Line: Cowboys by 4
Our Line: Cowboys by 2

Our Play: Falcons to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 12 – Cardinals at Giants

Vegas Line: Giants by 7
Our Line: Giants by 5

Our Play: Cardinals to cover (0.0 units)

Spin:

Game 13 – Eagles at Redskins

Vegas Line: Eagles by 7
Our Line: Redskins by 2

Our Play: Redskins to cover (1.0 units)

Spin: Game of the week.

Game 14 – N/A

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Our Line:

Our Play:

Game 15 – N/A

Vegas Line:
Our Line:

Our Play:

Spin:

Game 16 – N/A

Vegas Line:
Our Line:

Our Play:

Spin:

SUMMARY

Redskins to cover (1.0 units)
Buccaneers to cover (0.75 units)
Browns to cover (0.75 units)
Vikings to cover (0.75 units)
Rams to cover (0.75 units)
Raiders to cover (0.50 units)
Chiefs to cover (0.25 units)

Total: 4.75 units