Picks from Inside the Numbers
Units (season): +0.86
Units (last week): -0.89
Against the Spread (season): 52-64
Against the Spread (last week): 6-7
Straight up (season): 80-36
Straight up (last week): 7-6
Game 1 – Chiefs at Jaguars
Vegas Line: Jaguars by 6.5
Our Line: Jaguars by 7
Our Play: Jaguars to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 2 – Ravens at Bengals
Vegas Line: Ravens by 3
Our Line: Bengals by 2
Our Play: Bengals to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 3 – Texans at Colts
Vegas Line: Colts by 9
Our Line: Colts by 7
Our Play: Texans to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 4 – Redskins at Falcons
Vegas Line: Falcons by 10
Our Line: Falcons by 6
Our Play: Redskins to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 5 – Packers at Buccaneers
Vegas Line: Packers by 10
Our Line: Packers by 5
Our Play: Buccaneers to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 6 -Cardinals at Bears
Vegas Line: Bears by 3
Our Line: Bears by 4
Our Play: Bears to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 7 – Dolphins at Patriots
Vegas Line: Patriots by 10.5
Our Line: Patriots by 4
Our Play: Dolphins to cover (0.75 units)
Spin:
Game 8 – Panthers at Saints
Vegas Line: Saints by 13.5
Our Line: Saints by 9
Our Play: Panthers to cover (0.25 units)
Spin:
Game 9 – Lions at Seahawks
Vegas Line: Seahawks by 10
Our Line: Seahawks by 7
Our Play: Lions to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 10 – Titans at 49ers
Vegas Line: 49ers by 4
Our Line: 49ers by 5
Our Play: 49ers to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 11 – Chargers at Giants
Vegas Line: Giants by 5
Our Line: Giants by 4
Our Play: Chargers to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 12 – Cowboys at Eagles
Vegas Line: Eagles by 3
Our Line: Eagles by 2
Our Play: Cowboys to cover (0.0 units)
Spin:
Game 13 – Steelers at Broncos
Vegas Line: Steelers by 3
Our Line: Broncos by 12
Our Play: Broncos to cover (0.50 units), Broncos to win (2.50 units)
Spin: Game of the Year. We are 7-1 so far in our Game of the Week selections (our only loss coming with Washington failing to cover against Philadelphia in week 7). The Steelers are on a mini roll right now with their victory over Minnesota followed with a bye, giving them a week off to prepare for the AFC West leading Broncos. Combine this along with the return of Troy Polomalu and that they are the defending Super Bowl champions, and you find that the public has now completely forgotten about the very poor start this team had. They almost lost to the Titans, and more importantly have lost to the Bears and Bengals on the road. Why is that significant other than being on the road at Denver?
- Tennessee #31 defense at home – Win 13-10
- at Chicago #11 defense – Loss 14-17
- at Cincinnati #12 defense – Loss 20-23
- San Diego #19 at home – Win 38-28
- at Detroit #29 defense – Win 28-20
- Cleveland #32 defense at home – Win 27-14
- Minnesota #21 defense at home – Win 27-17
- at Denver #1 defense
And trust us, Denver is a better team than either Chicago or Cincinnati. Yes there are some concerns with injuries on Denver’s side, especially with RT Ryan Harris, who will not be playing. His replacement Tyler Polumbus did an admirable job last week against the Ravens, and should hold his own this week against the Steelers.
Game 14 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Game 15 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
Game 16 – N/A
Vegas Line:
Our Line:
Our Play:
Spin:
SUMMARY
Broncos to cover (0.50 units), Broncos to win (2.50 units)
Dolphins to cover (0.75 units)
Bengals to cover (0.25 units)
Panthers to cover (0.25 units)
Buccaneers to cover (0.25 units)
Total: 4.5 units
